SPEECH BY THE MINISTER FOR PLANNING, ECONOMY AND
EMPOWERMENT HON. DR. JUMA NGASONGWA (MP), PRESENTING TO THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
THE ECONOMIC SURVEY FOR 2005 AND PROPOSALS FOR THE MEDIUM TERM PLAN AND
EXPENDITURE FRAMEWORK FOR 2006/07 – 2008/09
INTRODUCTION
1.
Mr. Speaker, I beg to move that this esteemed house now resolves itself into a
committee to consider the Economic Survey for 2005 and proposals for the Medium
Term Plan and Expenditure Framework for 2006/07–2008/09. Together with this
speech I present the Economic Survey for 2005 and the Annual Development Plan
for 2006/07.
2.
Mr. Speaker, At the outset, I would like to take this opportunity to congratulate
the President of the United Republic of Tanzania H.E Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete and
the Vice President Dr. Ali Mohamed Shein for being elected with landslide
victory to lead our nation during the Fourth Phase Government. Likewise, I
would like to congratulate the Hon. Amani Abeid Karume for being elected
President as well as Chairman to the Revolutionary Council of Zanzibar. I would
also like to congratulate the Hon. Edward Ngoyai Lowasa (MP) for being elected
as a Member of Parliament and for his appointment as Prime Minister in the
Fourth Phase Government.
3.
Mr. Speaker, May I also congratulate you Hon. Samwel John Sitta (MP) and the Hon.
Anna Makinda (MP), for being elected Speaker and Deputy Speaker respectively.
Furthermore, and through you Mr. Speaker, may I congratulate all my fellow
Ministers and Deputy Ministers for their Presidential appointments. Lastly, but
not least I would also like to congratulate all the Members of Parliament for
the trust bestowed upon them by the voters of their respective constituencies.
I would also like to take this opportunity to thank all the voters for West Ulanga
Constituency for electing me once again to represent them in this House for the
third term. I would like to assure them that we will continue working together
to facilitate development in our constituency.
4.
Mr. Speaker, I would like to thank all the members of the Finance and Economic
Committee of the Parliament, under the very able Chairmanship of Hon. Abdallah
Omari Kigoda Member of Parliament of Handeni, for the valuable comments and
advice, which greatly assisted us in improving and completing this report.
Allow me furthermore to express my heartfelt appreciation and gratitude to all
those with whom we worked closely together to accomplish this task in time.
Firstly, I would like to thank the Hon. Salome Joseph Mbatia (MP) the Deputy
Minister, the team of experts in the Ministry of Planning, Economy and
Empowerment under the leadership of Dr. Enos Bukuku Permanent Secretary, and
his Deputy Dr. Stergomena Tax-Bamwenda who worked diligently for the successful
completion of this report. Secondly, I would like to thank all of our
colleagues from the Ministry of Finance, all line Ministries, and Government
Institutions for their contributions and continued support.
5.
Mr. Speaker, Allow me now to take this opportunity to present to you the summary of the Economic Survey for 2005 and
Proposals for the Medium Term Plan and Expenditure Framework for 2006/07 –
2008/09, this being the first year of reviewing implementation report of the
National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (NSGRP), a strategy that
aims at realizing the goals of the National Development Vision 2025. During
2005/06 the plan and budget focused on implementing the Socio- economic Reforms
aimed at sustaining the economy through the implementation of various policies, plans, programs and strategies that were
targeted at fostering economic development. However, let me hasten to add that,
this report covers only the year of January- December 2005 and the first
quarter of 2006.
REVIEW OF MACRO–ECONOMIC
PERFORMANCE
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
6.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by
6.8[1]
percent compared to the growth target of 6.9 percent, and actual growth rate of
6.7 percent in 2004. The increase in
growth rate was mainly attributed to an increase in the growth of wholesale and
retail trade; hotels and restaurants (including tourism); manufacturing; mining
and quarrying; transport and communication; and construction sectors. The
growth rate was also contributed by the growth of electricity and water
sectors; financial and business services sector; and public administration and
other services. However, the GDP growth rate was not attained as targeted due
mainly to drought that affected many parts of the country particularly in the
last quarter of 2005.
7.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2005, per capita income increased to shs.
360,865 from shs. 319,754 in 2004 at current prices, equivalent to an increase
of 12.9 percent. The real per capita income (at 1992 prices) was shs. 61,798 in
year 2005, compared to shs. 59,335 in 2004, equivalent to an increase of 4.2
percent.
8.
Mr. Speaker, The contribution of the agricultural sector to GDP
continued to decline gradually while the contribution of other sectors
particularly manufacturing; wholesale and retail trade which includes tourism,
mining and construction continued to increase. This shows a change in the
composition and structure of the economy that does not depend on contribution
of the agriculture sector alone. However, the contribution of the agriculture
sector to GDP remained significant compared to other sectors. In 2005, the
sector’s contribution to GDP was 45.6 percent compared to 46.3 percent in 2004.
9.
Mr. Speaker, In 2005, the agriculture sector grew by 5.2 percent
compared to 5.8 percent in 2004. The
decrease in growth rate of the sector was attributed to a decrease in the
production of crop and livestock sub-sectors. The growth rate of these
sub-sectors decreased from 6.0 and 4.8 percent in 2004 to 5.2 and 4.2 percent
in 2005 respectively. However, the rate of growth in fishing, and forestry and
hunting sub-sectors increased from 6.7 and 3.8 percent in 2004 to 7.3 and 4.5
percent in 2005 respectively.
10.
Mr. Speaker, The growth rate of manufacturing sector was 9.0
percent in 2005 compared to 8.6 percent in 2004. This was attributed to an
increase in the production of goods in some industries, particularly those of
cement, aluminium and iron sheets. The contribution of the manufacturing sector
to GDP increased to 9.0 percent in 2005 from 8.8 percent in 2004.
11.
Mr. Speaker, The growth rate of hotels, wholesale and retail trade
(including tourism) sector increased by 8.2 percent in 2005, compared to 7.8
percent in 2004. The contribution of the
sector to GDP increased from 16.9 percent in 2004 to 17.2 percent in 2005.
12.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2005, the mining and quarrying sector grew
by 15.7 percent compared to 15.4 percent in 2004. The increase in the growth of
the sector was largely attributed to the new and additional investments in
Tulawaka Gold Mine in Biharamulo. The contribution of the sector to GDP
increased to 3.5 percent in 2005 from 3.2 percent in year 2004.
13.
Mr. Speaker, The contribution of the construction sector to GDP was
5.7 percent in 2005 compared to 5.4 percent in 2004. The growth rate of
construction sector increased to 11.9 percent in 2005 from 10.8 percent in
2004. The growth was largely due to an increase in residential and
non-residential buildings, roads and bridges construction, and land
development.
14.
Mr. Speaker, The transport and communication sector grew by 6.4
percent in 2005 compared to 6.0 percent in 2004. This growth was due to the
improvement in transport infrastructure and availability of telecommunications
services. However, the sector contribution to GDP in 2005 was 5.4 percent
similar to that of 2004.
15.
Mr. Speaker, The electricity and water sector grew by 5.1 percent
in 2005 compared to 4.5 percent in 2004. The increase in the growth rate was
the result of growth in electricity and water sub-sectors, which was 4.7 and
2.8 percent in 2004 compared to 5.3 and 3.4 percent in 2005 respectively. The
contribution of the sector to GDP in 2005 remained at 1.6 percent, similar to
that of 2004.
16.
Mr. Speaker, The financial and business services sector grew by 5.3
percent in 2005 compared to 4.4 percent in 2004. The increase in the growth rate was
attributed to the growth in finance and insurance sub-sector, real estate and
business services sub-sector which grew by 5.7, 5.0 and 6.1 in 2005 compared to
4.4, 4.3 and 5.5 percent in 2004 respectively.
The sector’s contribution to GDP was 9.6 percent in 2005 compared to 9.7
percent in 2004.
17.
Mr. Speaker, The growth rate of the public administration sector
and other services increased from 4.3 percent in 2004 to 5.1 percent in
2005. The increase was attributed to an
increase in the growth rate of the public administration sub-sector, which grew
by 4.7 percent in 2005 compared to 2.8 percent in 2004. Education and health sub-sectors and other
services grew by 6.3, 5.7 and 4.9 percent respectively, recording a low growth
compared to what was achieved in 2004 that is 6.6, 6.0 and 5.8 percent
respectively. The sector’s contribution
to GDP declined slightly from 7.1 percent in 2004 to 7.0 percent in 2005.
Inflation
18.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2005, average inflation rate was 4.3
percent compared to the target of 4.0 percent, and real inflation rate of 4.2
percent in 2004. The increase in
inflation rate was a result of the increase in the average price of food
following severe drought in some parts of the country, and increased prices of
petroleum and its products, which subsequently increased transportation costs
and electricity bills.
Government Budget
Revenue
19.
Mr. Speaker, During the first half of 2005/06, collection of
domestic revenue reached shs. 1,013.8 billion compared to shs. 869.9 billion
collected during a similar period in 2004/05. This is equivalent to a monthly
average collection of shs. 169 billion compared to shs. 145 billion during a
similar period in 2004/05 that is an increase of 16.6 percent. The increase in
domestic revenue collection was mainly due to improved tax administration
particularly income tax and Value Added Tax (VAT) on imported and domestic
goods. By the end of March 2006,
domestic revenue collection was shs. 1,544.4 billion, equivalent to 100.5
percent of the target for the period.
Expenditure
20.
Mr. Speaker, During the first half of 2005/06, Government
expenditure amounted to shs. 2,122.9 billion compared to shs. 1,641.3 billion
during the same period in 2004/05. By
the end of March 2006, total expenditure was shs. 3,180.5 billion compared to
the estimates of shs. 3,171.1 billion, equivalent to an over expenditure of 0.3
percent. Out of that amount, shs. 2,199.6 billion were used for recurrent and
shs. 980.9 billion for development expenditure. The increase in Government
expenditure was due to the cost of postponing the October 2005 General
Elections, provisional of subsidy to TANESCO for procurement of transformers
for the Ilala substation in Dar es Salaam, and the cost for rescuing the ailing
Air Tanzania Company Limited. Other requirement, which caused the increase on
expenditure, was the Government’s decision to adjust ration allowances for
soldiers and salaries for health workers.
Money Supply and Credit
21.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2005, broad money supply (M2)
increased by 36.2 percent compared to 19.2 percent during 2004, while the
extended broad money supply (M3)[2]
increased by 38.2 by end of December 2005 from 19.3 percent during end of
December 2004. The increase was above the target level of 24.0 percent for M2
and the band of 23-24 for M3 during 2005/06 fiscal year. The
increase in money supply was largely attributed to an increase in demand
deposits, savings deposits in banks and increase in loans to the private
sector. In addition, the average interest rates increased from 14.8 percent in
2004 to 15.0 percent in 2005.
Capital Formation
22.
Mr. Speaker, Capital formation increased to shs. 735,180 million in
2005 from shs. 624,371 million in 2004, at 1992 constant prices, equivalent to
an increase of 17.7 percent. Capital
formation at current prices increased from shs. 2,598,974 in 2004 to shs.
3,149,402 million in 2005, equivalent to an increase of 21.2 percent. The
increase in capital formation was largely due to construction of buildings,
importation of equipment; and the increase in other capital formation
activities including land improvement, roads and bridges, and water. Capital
formation as a percentage of GDP was 32.9 percent compared to 29.8 percent in
2004, at 1992 constant prices.
23.
Mr. Speaker, The
contribution of private sector to capital formation was 65.1 percent in 2005
compared to 62.4 percent in 2004. Public sector, capital formation increased to
1,068,171.0 million in 2005 from 950,077.0 million in 2004 at current prices,
equivalent to an increase of 12.4 percent. The contribution of public sector in
capital formation was generally 33.9 percent in 2005 compared to 36.6 percent
in 2004.
Commercial Banks’
Credit to Various Sectors
24.
Mr. Speaker, Commercial banks’ credit to various sectors increased
from shs. 965,985.9 million in 2003/04 fiscal year to shs. 1,219,305.6 million
in 2004/05 fiscal year, equivalent to an increase of 26.2. By end-December
2005, loans to private sector had increased to shs.1,425,062.3 million compared
to shs.1,060,077.3 million at end- December 2004. The increase was equivalent
to 34.4 percent compared to 30.0 percent at end-December 2004.
Merchandize Exports
and Imports
25.
Mr. Speaker, The value of merchandize exports increased by 13.8
percent in 2005, to USD 1,676.3 million from USD 1,473.1 million in 2004. The
value of traditional exports increased to USD 354.4 million in 2005 from USD
297.8 million in 2004, equivalent to an increase of 19.0 percent. The increase
was mainly contributed by increase of traditional exports of coffee, tobacco
and cotton. The value of non-traditional exports increased to USD 1,321.8
million in 2005 from USD 1,175.3 million in 2004, equivalent to increase by
12.5 percent. Non-traditional exports contributed to 78.8 percent of total
exports, while traditional goods contributed 21.2 percent. Despite of these
achievements, revenue that accrued from exports was capable to fund only 63.0
percent of imports. The challenge ahead
is that of increasing exports and the production of high quality goods that can
compete in the international market such as the ‘’Kilicafe’’ of Kilimanjaro,
and horticultural products from Gomba Estate of Arusha, which fetch attractive
prices in the world markets.
26.
Mr. Speaker, The value of merchandise imports (f.o.b) increased from USD 2,339.7
million in 2004 to USD 2,661.8 million in 2005, equivalent to an increase of
13.8 percent. Imports bills were higher than export earnings, and thus widened
the trade balance deficit. The importation of consumer goods declined by 1.8
percent, due mainly to increased food crops production, particularly maize. The
importation of other consumer goods (non-food items) increased from USD 515.9
million in 2004 to USD 583.0 million in 2005, equivalent to an increase of 13.0
percent.
27.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the overall balance of payments indicated a deficit of USD
437.5 million compared to a surplus of USD 43.4 million during 2004. The
deficit was a result of increased deficit in the trade account balance that
widened to USD 985.5 in 2005, equivalent to 13.7 percent higher than the
deficit of USD 866.6 registered in 2004.
Foreign Reserves
28.
Mr. Speaker, The stock of foreign reserves decreased to USD 2,048.4 million in 2005
from USD 2,296.1 million in 2004, equivalent to a decrease of 10.8 percent. The
gross official reserves in 2005 were equivalent to 6.4 months of imports
compared to 8.2 months in 2004. This amount is below the planned target of
having foreign reserves equivalent to more than 7 months of imports of goods
and services.
Exchange Rate
29.
Mr. Speaker, The value of the domestic currency continued to be market determined. In
2005, the value of the domestic currency averaged Tshs.1,128.8 against USD
compared to Tshs.1,089.3 in 2004. This shows currency depreciation by 3.6
percent compared to 5.0 percent in 2004. Furthermore, the value of Tshs. per
USD was Tshs. 1,165.5 by the end of December 2005 compared to Tshs. 1,043.0 per
USD recorded at the end of December 2004.
Grants and External
Loans
30.
Mr. Speaker, Grants and Loans were disbursed at a reasonable level as Development
Partners responded positively in supporting the implementation of National
Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (NSGRP). Grants and loans for the
recurrent budget was sh. 576,956 million by March 2006 compared to the
projection of sh. 589,913 million, equivalent to 97.8 percent of the total
projection. The under- disbursement was
due to the reduction of grants and loans by some development partners and the
World Bank as well as late disbursement of the Basket funds. Nonetheless, most
of the Development Partners adhered to their pledges. In the case of grants and
loans for supporting the development budget, the amount disbursed was sh.
731,711 million compared to the pledge of sh. 783,467 million, equivalent to
80.7 percent.
National Debt
31.
Mr. Speaker, By end of December 2005, the National debt amounted to USD 9,961.3[3]
million compared to USD 9,726.9 million in December 2004, equivalent to an
increase of 2.4 percent. Out of that amount, external debt was USD 7,934.4
million, equivalent to 79.6 percent, while domestic debt amounted to USD
2,026.9 million. External debt decreased slightly by 1.1 percent compared to
USD 8,022.9 million in 2004. The external debt is sustainable, though it appears
to be high due to the interest arrears of debts from non-Paris Club members.
32.
While taking precaution of the debt burden, the
government will contract soft loans for enhancing economic development
capacity, increasing investments and thereby enabling creation of employment
opportunities, increasing exports and government revenues; improving
infrastructure, and developing human resources.
33.
Mr. Speaker, Payment of external debt improved from USD 77.8 million in 2004 to USD
91.1 million in 2005. This amount comprised principal USD 53.4 million and
interest USD 37.7 million. The improvement was due to payment of uncancelled
debts by non-Paris Club members.
Domestic Debt
34.
Mr. Speaker, Total domestic debt as at the end of December 2005 amounted to shs.
2,362.5 billion compared to shs. 1,813.1 billion at end of December 2004,
equivalent to an increase of 30.3 percent. The rise was caused by an increased
Government expenditure. In 2005, domestic debt valued shs. 716.8 billion was
paid. Out of which, shs. 616.4 billion was principal and shs. 100.4 billion was in form of
interest.
THE STATE OF THE WORLD ECONOMY AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
State of the World Economy
35.
Mr. Speaker, The world output grew by 4.8 percent in 2005, as compared to 5.3
percent in 2004. The decline of the economy was contributed largely by the
instability of the economies of developed European countries of
36.
Mr. Speaker, The economy of developed countries grew by 2.7 percent in 2005 as
compared to 3.4 percent in 2004. This
economic decline was due to increased petroleum prices as well as decline of
exports. Developing countries and emerging industrial Asian countries recorded
economic decline of 7.2 and 8.6 percent in 2005 as compared to 7.6 and 8.8 in
2004 respectively. The economic growth
of developing countries as compared to economic growth of the world in general
stabilized due to the growth of commercial and industrial production activities
and successful implementation of policies on economic reforms.
37.
Mr. Speaker, The economic growth of Sub-Saharan Africa grew by an average of 5.5
percent in 2005 compared to an average of 5.6 percent in 2004. In 2005, the economic growth of African
countries decreased to an average of 5.2 percent from an average of 5.5 in
2004. The economic growth of the African Continent depended on increase in
petroleum and minerals exports, as well as increase of prices of some
agricultural products. In addition, successful policy implementation and
economic reforms by some of African countries contributed to the economic
growth. However, the rate of economic
growth decreased between 2004 and 2005 due to drought and political crisis,
which engulfed some of the African countries.
38.
Mr. Speaker, The economic growth of the Great Lakes Countries including
39.
Mr. Speaker, The economic growth of
40.
Mr. Speaker, Our cooperation with other Nations in the world and International
Agencies as well as Regional Cooperation continued to stabilize, thus created a
conducive environment for economic and community development in our nation.
East African
Community (EAC)
41.
Mr. Speaker, The implementation of the Protocol on East African Community Customs
Union commenced on 1st January 2005 after being signed by the
Presidents of the member countries and assented by the Parliaments of the
respective countries. Also the East
African Community prepared a Five Year Development Strategy after the
completion of the 2001-2005 strategy, which led to the establishment of
cooperation of the Joint Customs Protocol as well as laying the foundation for
the creation of the Joint East African Market.
42.
Mr. Speaker, The EAC continued to implement development projects in the
43.
Mr. Speaker, In 2005, the International Committee Ministers Meeting on the Great
Lakes area was held in
44.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005 SADC celebrated 25 years since its inception. The activities implemented in 2005/06 fiscal
year include: adoption of adjusted lowest level of women percent participation
in politics and leadership positions from current 30 percent to 50 percent by
2010. This level is the same as planned in the East African Community. Other
activities were: approving the construction of the SADC headquarters in
45.
SADC Secretariat
completed the procedures for connecting
New Economic
Partnership For
46.
Mr. Speaker, The Government extended an invitation to the Secretariat of African
Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) to assess the extent of implementing NEPAD
agreements, which include Rule of Law, Human Rights, Freedom of Media,
Political Parties’ Freedom and Economic Reforms aimed at promoting economic
growth and poverty reduction and co-operation between the government and the
private sectors. This is in accordance
with the joint agreement that allows a country to carry out self-assessment on
the implementation of the agreed NEPAD benchmarks as ratified by the Parliament
of the United Republic of Tanzania in February 2005.
47.
Mr. Speaker, According to the economic reforms being undertaken under the National
Development Vision 2025, the Government submitted the following projects to
NEPAD Secretariat: construction of a joint bridge linking
Technical
Cooperation Among Developing Countries
48.
Mr.
Speaker, During 2005
SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
Agriculture
49.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005/06, production of food crops declined for some crops
including wheat, maize, sorghum and banana. However, production increased for
cassava, legumes and paddy. On commercial crops, production of pyrethrum,
tobacco and cotton increased, whereas production of coffee and cashew nuts
decreased. Also the area under irrigation decreased from 23,970 hectares in
2004 to 22,506 hectares in 2005. The decrease in production of some crops was
due to drought, inadequate extension services and volatile crop prices.
50.
Mr. Speaker, During the year 2006/07, the issue of irrigation farming will be given
special emphasis while implementing the green revolution strategy focusing on
improving availability of food and increasing stock of the National Strategic
Grain Reserve.
Manufacturing
51.
Mr. Speaker, During the year 2005/06, the manufacturing sector recorded an increase
in the production of manufactured goods for domestic needs and external market.
Agro-processing industries started applying appropriate technologies on various
crops including the use of biogas, for curing tobacco and for processing edible
oil and salt to meet international standards. Other achievements for the year
in the area of manufacturing include strengthening of the food quality
assurance laboratory of the Tanzania Bureau of Standards (TBS).
52.
In promoting
investments in Export Processing Zones (EPZ) to produce goods for external
markets, two industries were constructed and commenced production. The two
industries are A-Z at Kisongo, Arusha, producing mosquito nets, and the African
Packaging System at the
53.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the planned activities include:
building capacity of the private sector for value addition and improving the
quality of goods in accordance with the requirements of local and international
markets; scaling up efforts to establish EPZs, promoting investments in textile
and leather, agriculture and livestock products processing industries;
improving the environment for manufacturing activities; and strengthening
regional and international economic relations. Efforts will be intensified in
the utilization of preference markets of AGOA, EBA, Canadian PACT and the
markets of
Minerals
54.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005/06, the mineral sector recorded
remarkable achievements including: operationalisation of a framework of issuing
mining licenses; completion of surveying small mining plots in Morogoro Region;
construction of the Arusha mineral processing industry which was completed and
commenced production; and education and training to small scale miners. The revenue accrued from mining activities is
minimal; the government therefore has formed a special committee to undertake
an in-depth evaluation on the issue.
55.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2006/07 the mineral sector aims at: improving relations
between small scale miners and mining companies, increasing employment
opportunities, ensuring safety in mining and adherence to environmental
protection, establishment of a unit to coordinate small scale miners
development, promoting private sector investments in the mineral sector and
ensuring minerals value added before they are exported.
Energy
56.
Mr. Speaker, The achievements in the energy sector during 2005 include: commencement
of electricity generation using Songosongo natural gas; signing the agreement
of intent between the government and the Mnazi Bay gas project investor to generate
14MW of electricity for Lindi and Mtwara regions; and completion of the
research undertaken in Mwanza region to establish the obstacles that hinder the
promotion of using solar power as an alternative energy source. TANESCO also
entered into an agreement with Wartisila company to convert the IPTL plant from
thermal to natural gas. Other achievements were: the completion of the Kihansi
Power Project, completion of connecting electricity to Serengeti and Ukerewe
districts as well as Urambo district under the electricity distribution
project.
57.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the energy sector will continue to
develop projects that will generate electricity using Songosongo gas. The amount of electricity expected to be
generated is: 45 MW (IPTL Tegeta), 200 MW (Kinyerezi Plant), 60 MW (Ubungo
Phase I) and 40 MW (Ubungo Phase II) and 100 MW from power leasing. Other targets include: connecting power from
Roads
58.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the following achievements were attained
in the roads sector: 10,062 kilometres of regional roads and 5,968 kilometres
of trunk roads were rehabilitated into good condition, 699 bridges were
rehabilitated while 17 new ones were constructed; and training was provided to
315 contractors from the private sector in order to enhance their capacity.
59.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07 period, the government intends to
implement the following: rehabilitation of 15,000 kilometres of regional and
district roads; continuing with implementation of the special program for
improving infrastructure in the six regions of Lindi, Mtwara, Ruvuma, Kigoma,
Rukwa and Tabora; continuing with the program of capacity building for local
contractors and other stakeholders; and to review and improve the
infrastructure sector policies.
Communication and Transport
60.
Mr. Speaker, During the period of 2005/06, the communication and transport sector
implemented the following: 40 percent completion of new Songwe Airport
construction; rehabilitation of run-ways of Mwanza, Arusha and Kigoma airports;
rehabilitation of Singida airport infrastructure; and rehabilitation of wharfs
in the Great Lakes ports as well as rehabilitation of the central railway line
to improve services.
61.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07 period, the Government intends to implement the
following: commencement of transforming the central railway system, by
replacing the current railway sleepers with 80 pound sleepers; rehabilitation
of infrastructure for airports, ports, wharfs, rails and communication network;
continue harmonizing local and international transportation and communication
standards; improving the Civil Aviation Authority services; and monitoring
passenger transportation vessels in order to reduce accidents.
Information and Communication
Technology
62.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the Government focused on Information
Communications and Technology (ICT) by implementing the following:- assessing
the development of National Communication System; formation of the ICT
Coordination Team; opening of telecentres in Singida, Morogoro, Mtwara,
Mpwapwa, Rungwe and Pemba towns; and project implementation of incorporating
ICT training curricular in Tanzania (e-schools, e-education, e-learning).
63.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Government’s objectives are as
follows: to co-ordinate activities on the development of ICT and enhancing
zonal and international cooperation in the field of ICT.
Natural Resources
64.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the Government implemented the
following: 66,182,502 seedlings were planted as compared to 65,558,138 planted
seedlings in 2004, this is an increase of 0.95 percent; completion of
demarcating forest reserves in the areas of Kapingo, Engoma, Mikikagi and Itira
in Ukerewe district; and completion of forest resources stock taking in
Morogoro, Mvomero, Kilombero, Ulanga, Handeni, Kilindi, Kilwa, Nachingwa,
Liwale, Tunduru, Mpanda and Rufiji Districts.
65.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the government intends to implement the following:
establishing a firm foundation for natural resources management in order to increase
its contribution to GDP; enforcing laws and regulations for sustainable forest
conservation and harvesting of forest products through improved management and
other operations; putting in place an effective management system in order to
improve service delivery and to expand participation spectrum of private
sector, NGOs and other stake-holders in the protection, conservation and
supervision of natural resources.
CROSS CUTTING
ISSUES
66.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the
Government continued to implement various policy decisions on crosscutting
issues. The following is a summary of implementation:
(i) Good
Governance
67.
Mr. Speaker, The Government continued to evaluate the state of corruption in the
country by using the available indicators.
The Government also established Ministerial Ethics Committee as well as
prepared the second phase of the National Ant-corruption strategy and Action
Plan (NACSAP) at working places.
68.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, Issues to be given emphasis include: improvement of
public finance management and accountability; involvement of various
stakeholders on preparation, monitoring and implementation of policies, plans
and development strategies; continue implementing the Local Government Reform
Programme; continue with corruption campaigns; curbing crime, and prosecuting
suspected criminals; continue reforming regulations and Laws including
management frameworks; and improving openness in information dissemination for
improved decision making.
(ii) Fight Against HIV/AIDS
69.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the Government continued to take
various measures including mainstreaming HIV/AIDS in Ministries, public and
private institutions activities and preparation of strategies for controlling
HIV/AIDS with a focus on identifying activities to be undertaken in combating
HIV/AIDS. The annual report on HIV/AIDS and Sexually Transmitted Infections
(STI) Surveillance (October 2005) indicates that new HIV/AIDS cases have
increased from 188,140 people in 2004 to 188,400 people in 2005. Amongst them, women were 97,130, equivalent
to 51.6 percent.
70.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, training on HIV/AIDS control was
provided to people at various levels. The guideline on HIV/AIDS control in the
public sector was prepared which provide clear procedures for care and support
to people living with HIV/AIDS. Until
December 2005, 96 centres were administering ARVS to people living with
HIV/AIDS, and 25,840 people living with HIV/AIDS were registered under the
National Care and Treatment Plan.
71.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Government will increase the
number of centres providing ARVS to people living with HIV/AIDS as well as
registering people living with HIV/AIDS in the National Care and Treatment Plan
and providing education at all levels.
(iii) Gender Issues
72.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, the Government in collaboration with various stakeholders
continued to implement policies; plans and strategies aimed at improving gender
issues. Also, the number of seats for women representation in the Parliament is
increasing due to amendments in the Constitution of the United Republic of
Tanzania as well as amendments in the general election regulations, which
provide for 30 percent of representation for women members in the Parliament.
May I take this opportunity to congratulate the President of the Fourth Phase
Government H.E Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete, for appointing a good number of women to
hold high decision-making positions in the Government. Currently, 30.41 percent
of Members of Parliament are women, this is slightly higher than the minimum
target set in the Constitution and the agreement of SADC member countries.
73.
Mr. Speaker, In order to empower women in business participation, 127 women participated at
the Dar Es Salaam International Trade Fair, sponsored by the Government and Equal
Opportunities Trust Fund (EOTF) during 2005 compared to 130 who participated in
2004.
74.
Mr. Speaker, In the year 2006/07, the Government will continue to promote the use of
gender segregated data in various decision-making processes as well as
reviewing the laws that are discriminatory against women. The Government will ensure that women
representation at different levels of management is sustained and will provide
opportunities for training and economic activities to enable them attain
benefits in economic development.
(iv) Population
75.
Mr. Speaker, Projections based on the 2002 Population and Housing Census show that
76.
Mr. Speaker, Based on that projections,
77.
Mr. Speaker, In year 2005, the task of reviewing the National Population Policy was
completed and the Action Plan for Implementation was prepared. Training on
mainstreaming population issues into development plans were conducted at
districts and wards levels, to Non Governmental Organizations and to
Parliamentarians.
(v) Environment
78.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005/06, the Government prepared a National Strategy for Land
and Water Sources Conservation. The
Strategy addresses the problems of environmental degradation caused by
agriculture and livestock keeping in the water catchment areas. The strategy
also covers on issues of environmental degradation caused by excessive tree
cutting for firewood, charcoal and other uses.
79.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Government will
adopt the following measures: controlling agricultural and livestock activities
within the water catchments areas; continue to sensitise livestock keepers to
abandon nomadic livestock keeping; prepare appropriate land use plans; continue
with National Tree Planting Campaign by planting and protecting trees; building
and constructing dams and wells for livestock keepers and farmers; promoting
appropriate rainwater harvesting technologies; preserving and distributing
harvested rainwater and underground water for agricultural and livestock
husbandry activities; sensitising institutions, tobacco farmers and other major
users of wood, charcoal and firewood such as educational institutions, the army
and industries to establish their own tree plantations; continue controlling
burning of forests and haphazard tree cutting; controlling irrigation
activities; and planting appropriate tree species at water catchments areas.
SPECIAL PROGRAMMES FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
80.
Mr. Speaker, In the medium term, the Government will continue to
implement various programmes and strategies for socio-economic development
which include: National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty
(NSGRP-MKUKUTA); Agricultural Sector Development Programme (ASDP); Property and
Business Formulation Program (PBFP/MKURABITA), Tanzania Mini-Tiger Plan 2020
(TMTP 2020); Business Environment Strengthening for Tanzania (BEST/MKUMBITA);
National Debt Management Strategy and Joint Assistance Strategy (JAS). The
recently prepared National MKUKUTA Monitoring System will be used to evaluate
implementation outputs for five years. The evaluation system will identify the
successes and constraints in order to facilitate decision-making.
81.
Mr. Speaker, During the 2005/06, the Government continued to
implement the following programmes and strategies: -
(i)
The National
Strategy for Growth and
Reduction of Poverty (MKUKUTA)
82.
Mr. Speaker, The implementation of
MKUKUTA started during 2005/06 financial year, whereby all sectors, public and
private institutions participated in the implementation of its three major
clusters, which are: (i) economic growth and reduction of income poverty; (ii)
improvement of social well being; and (iii) good governance and accountability.
Some of the activities that have so far been implemented include:-
harmonization of MKUKUTA with Strategic Planning and Medium Expenditure
Framework (MTEF); completion of guideline on how to harmonize sector programmes
with MKUKUTA and completion of the National MKUKUTA Monitoring System; and
training of officials at the Regional Secretariats and Local Government
Authorities on the guidelines for harmonizing sector plans with MKUKUTA. In
addition there was an initiation of costing exercise for MKUKUTA activities and
Action Plan.
83.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Government will harmonize all
costs for implementing MKUKUTA objectives and will implement plans, programmes
and various strategies for successful implementation of MKUKUTA. At the same time, the Government will
undertake costing of 2005 CCM Election Manifesto during 2006/07.
(ii)
Implementation of the Business Environment
Strengthening for
84.
Mr. Speaker, The government continued to implement BEST Programme that aims at
reducing the costs of establishing and operating business by removing the
obstacles emanating from policy, legal, regulatory, procedural and
institutional frameworks that impede the growth of the private sector. During
2005/06 BEST Programme continued to improve business environment in the country
through:
·
Completion of
various laws and regulations review aimed at strengthening business environment
in the country. The Laws and Regulations recognised land as collateral from
August 2005 and Business Registration Act. of 2006; and
·
Preparation of
various draft legal bills for enacting various laws such as: valuation of land, safety at the workplace,
workman’s compensation, social security,
and land market agencies which
were submitted to the Attorney General’s Chambers that enabled the preparation
of the Private Sector Development Strategy.
85.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the government will continue to coordinate BEST
programme by providing special emphasis to develop the private sector through
creating conducive environment for undertaking investment in the country,
particularly in continuing to improve policies, laws and regulations that
affect negatively the private sector development, as well as strengthening
Tanzania Investment Centre and reforming the Commercial court.
(iii) The
86.
Mr. Speaker, In 2005, the government started to implement Tanzania Mini Tiger Plan
2020 by using the experience and success of the South East Asian countries. The
aim of this plan is to increase the rate of growth of the economy as the basis
for increasing the average income; to increase exports of goods and services,
and to increase employment opportunities in order to reduce poverty.
87.
Mr. Speaker, In the process of implementing this plan, the following projects were
undertaken: inauguration of a company to import and rehabilitate motor
vehicles, machines and various spare parts (Tsubasa Renew car EA Ltd.); and
commencing construction of a special Economic Zone at Mabibo-Dar es salaam that
is known as “The Benjamin William Mkapa Special Economic Zone (BWM-SEZ)”. In
addition, a committee to supervise the construction of International Centre of
Technology (ICT-SEZ) was formed and its activities were coordinated by the
88.
Experts also
visited
89.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Tanzania Mini-Tiger Plan 2020 will implement the
following activities: continue with the construction and publicity of “The
Benjamin William Mkapa Special Economic Zone at Mabibo to attract local and
foreign investors; establish Special Economic Zone Authority; provide short
term training to Tanzanians in countries with successful experience in Special
Economic Zones; and commence construction of ICT in the special investment area
of the University of Dar es Salaam.
(iv) Property
and Business Formalization Programme (PBFP)
90.
Mr. Speaker, During the 2005/06, Phase One of PBFP involved
evaluation of the informal sector and the report was submitted to the
Government on 5th October 2005.
The Evaluation report identified revealed the informal sector network,
the real value of the sector; and the procedures and practices used by various
stakeholders to own properties and conduct business outside the formal and
legal system. In addition, the evaluation identified the legal obstacles, which
restrict many Tanzanians from observing the rules for conducting business and
owning properties especially land, and buildings.
91.
Other activities
undertaken included: sensitisation of leaders at various levels on the
objectives and goals of PBFP; sensitisation of targeted beneficiaries and
administrators through various workshops; sensitisation of small and medium
scale entrepreneurs on activities of PBFP; preparations of the Memorandum of
Understanding between Ministries and other Government institutions which can
work closely with PBFP; and finalization of the Action Plan for PBFP Phase II.
92.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the activities to be performed by
PBFP will include: conducting research in 26 districts of Tanzania Mainland and
Zanzibar; preparing initial proposals for improving legal and regulations used
in the informal sector; providing initial proposals for structure institutional
arrangement; training local experts to ensure ownership and participation of
Tanzanians in formulation of laws; implementation of activities which are in
tandem with preparations of reforms to sustain the enthusiasm of Tanzanians
that emanate from research reports; completion of the concept document for the
programme to be used as a focal guideline for the programme; and continue with
construction of the PBFP website.
(v)
93.
Mr. Speaker, Due to successes obtained during the implementation
of TASAF Phase I, the Government decided to implement TASAF Phase II.
Implementation of TASAF is facilitated by soft loan funds of US Dollars 129
million and a grant of US Dollars 21 million from the World Bank. TASAF Phase
II aims at implementing MKUKUTA and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
94.
Mr. Speaker, During the second Phase
of TASAF which commenced on 11th
May, 2005, the Government has been able to sensitise the public through
television, radio programmes, special features in newspapers and brochures;
prepare implementation guidelines of the project at Local Government Authority
levels including District Councils, Municipals, Cities and Shehia in Zanzibar;
and translate the various guidelines into Kiswahili.
95.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, TASAF plans to reach out all
Tanzanians through training on the procedures involved in implementing TASAF
supported projects. In addition, arrangements will be put in place to ensure
that the communities implement the projects efficiently and effectively; and
prepare implementation reports timely for evaluation purposes.
(vi) Privatisation and Private Sector Development
96.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005/06, the Government through the Tanzania National Business
Centre (TNBC) facilitated the establishment of regional business councils with
the objective of enhancing Public Private Partnership to improve investments in
the regions and districts. The business councils were established in 12 regions
viz Kilimanjaro, Arusha, Manyara, Tanga, Mwanza, Kagera, Morogoro, Iringa,
Mbeya, Ruvuma, Mtwara, and
97.
Mr. Speaker, The Government continued with its efforts to sensitise and coordinate
local and foreign investors in different sectors with the objective of
enhancing private sector development. During 2005, the Tanzania Investment
Centre (TIC) registered 550 project valued at shs. 1,876,063 million that
provided employment opportunities to 55,663 people, compared to 454 projects
valued at shs. 1,246,040 million in 2004. TIC is also implementing strategies
that are intended to develop investment opportunities in the regions. In order
to achieve this, the centre has established
98.
Mr. Speaker, Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) were valued at USD 325 million in
2005 compared to USD 470 million in 2004, equivalent to a decrease of 30.8
percent. The decrease was due to decline of investments in the mining sector.
99.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, TIC activities will include: establishing an office in the Southern Zone;
continuing to sensitise foreign investors through “Investor Targeting” style in
order to increase Foreign Direct Investments; facilitating small and medium
scale investors to prepare bankable investment projects; and to work with
regions in the preparation and coordination of investment workshops.
100.
Mr. Speaker, During 2005, a total of 11 public corporations were privatised and 126
non-core assets were sold making a total of 322 public corporations and
non-core assets compared to 647 assets that were privatised since the exercise
began 13 years ago. The corporations were privatised to local and foreign
investors through buying of shares, outright sale of assets, and hiring. In
order to complete privatisation of the remaining public enterprises an
additional period of four years covering January 2004 up to December 2007 was
extended to the Presidential Parastatal Sector Reform Commission (PSRC).
101.
Mr. Speaker, During 2006/07, the Government will continue to restructure the
remaining 36 corporations including TAZARA, commercial units of the Tanzania
Ports Authority (excluding the container terminal that has been leased) and
National Insurance Corporation. PSRC will officially close its activities by
end of December 2007. The Government aims at retaining a small unit for
monitoring and evaluation of the privatised enterprises and coordinating the
activities of the Regulatory Authorities.
(vii) Implementation of the National Economic Empowerment Policy
102.
Mr. Speaker, Economic empowerment of the Tanzanians has
been one of the long-term agenda in our National Development Policies. Members
of your esteemed Parliament witnessed the launching of the National Economic
Empowerment Policy in June 2004 and the National Economic Empowerment bill was
passed in November 2004 that became effective in February 2005. Various initiatives
have been undertaken to empower the citizens of
103.
Mr. Speaker, To implement this Policy,
all sectors are responsible for formulating,
elaborating and implementing their own strategies. Sector policies will focus
on providing preferential treatment to nationals and empower them by providing
better services of education and training in entrepreneurship, improving
infrastructure, and providing them with opportunities to participate in the
formulation, planning and implementation of sectoral policies and strategies
for economic empowerment.
104.
Mr.
Speaker, In the financial year 2006/07, the
activities to be implemented will include:
recruitment of the key staff of the Council Secretariat; conducting
research studies leading to identification of quick wins in the implementation
of the Policy; preparing indicative guidelines for people to participate in the
implementation of the Policy; preparing a system that will ensure the Empowerment
Policy is well published and understood by all citizens.
105.
Mr.
Speaker, Despite the fact that
BASIS AND
OBJECTIVES OF THE MEDIUM TERM PLAN AND BUDGET FOR 2006/07-2008/09
106.
Mr. Speaker, This Medium Term Plan and Budget is the first to be prepared by the
Fourth Phase Government in implementing the National Strategy for Growth and
Reduction of Poverty (MKUKUTA). The basis and objectives of the Medium Term
Plan and the Government Budget for 2006/07-2008/09 has taken into account
implementation of the CHAMA CHA MAPINDUZI (CCM) Election Manifesto 2005;
which targets to achieve the objectives of the Tanzania Development Vision
2025, including improved life for every Tanzanian and halving income poverty by
2015.
107.
The Minister for
Finance will table the Government Revenue and Expenditure Framework for
2006/07, by explaining in details the revenue and expenditure trend for
2005/06, budget estimates and the major areas of focus for 2006/07 budget
allocation.
108.
Mr. Speaker, The basis of the Plan and Budget for the Medium Term 2006/07–2008/09
are as follows:
i)
Continue to sustain
the Macro economic stability;
ii)
Increase impetus in
the implementation of MKUKUTA, including continued implementation of BEST;
Tanzania Mini-Tiger Plan 2020; Lake Victoria-Kahama-Shinyanga water supply project;
and construction of roads, bridges and irrigation infrastructure;
iii)
Continue to
identify and implement plans and strategies that will accelerate economic
growth such as National ID registration programme, and Geographical Information
System–GIS and National Spatial Data Infrastructure–NSDI;
iv)
Strengthen and
supporting the informal sector to expand and stabilize in order to be
mainstreamed into formal sector;
v)
Strengthen
frameworks for coordination and monitoring of development project at all
levels;
vi)
Continue with the
implementation of Decentralisation by Devolution Policy through Local government Reform Programme;
vii) Sensitise the community to be disciplined and
aggressive in implementing economic activities; and
viii)
Providing resources
and be used efficiently.
109.
Mr. Speaker, On the basis of the above, the overall
macro-economic objectives are as follows:
i)
Real GDP is
projected to grow by 5.9 percent in year 2006, 7.3 percent in year 2007, 7.7
percent in year 2008, and to7.9 percent in year 2009;
ii) The rate of inflation not to exceed 4.0 (at 2001
prices) by June 2007;
iii) Government’s domestic revenue to increase by 14.5
percent in year 2006/07, 14.7 percent in year 2007/08 and 14.8 in year 2008/09;
iv) Broad money supply (M2) to be consistent
with GDP growth and the agreed rate of inflation; and
v) Maintain sufficient official foreign reserves to
sustain imports of goods and non-factor services of not less than seven months.
CONCLUSION
110.
Mr. Speaker, After the appraisal of the state of the economy for 2005 and Proposals
for the Medium Term Plan and Expenditure Framework for 2006/07–2008/09 may I
take this opportunity to emphasize on important issues which, as a nation, we
have to accord priority during implementation and close follow-up in 2006/07 as
follows:
i)
To sensitise people
on the important issues that have been stipulated in the 2005 CCM General
Election Manifesto, and the National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of
Poverty (MKUKUTA), by publicizing them through mass media;
ii) To implement plans, strategies and targets focus on
the growth of the economy, employment creation, increased productivity and
national income;
iii) To continue with the implementation of
decentralization by devolution;
iv) To strengthen and enhance the monitoring and
evaluation system for the implementation of development plans and strategies as
outlined in the 2005 CCM General Election Manifesto, and in the National
Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty;
v) To continue sensitising all sectors to design
sustainable strategies that will improve the living conditions of the people;
vi) To continue with the formalization of the informal
sector so that it can contribute to the economic growth and expand employment
opportunities;
vii) To continue encouraging investors to invest in small
and medium scale agro-processing industries;
viii)
To continue
designing and implementing plans and strategies that will empower people
economically so that they can improve their social and economic activities; and
ix) To promote strategies for National Food Security.
111.
Mr. Speaker, In order to realise the objectives of the National
Development Vision 2025, we have to sustain the achievements attained during
the Third Phase Government focusing on eradicating the obstacles faced by our
people. During the Fourth Phase Government we shall have to be more careful in
determining our priorities for attaining economic growth and reduction of
poverty. Since our resources are limited we have to prioritise resource
allocation in order to hasten our development. This will mean delaying some of
our activities and providing others with funds that only meet the operational
costs. The challenge facing us is to agree on those areas that should be given
more priority in the allocation of resources. In order to be more successful in
the implementation of our policies, plans and strategies, there is a need to
improve methods for implementation, supervision, monitoring and evaluation of
government policies, strategies, programmes and projects.
112.
Mr. Speaker, I would like to reiterate that our resources are limited as compared to
the problems facing our nation. We can bring economic and social changes more
quickly if we use our resources more efficiently. Therefore, I wish every one of us to use the opportunities available
for the purposes of increasing productivity and economic growth so that we can
overcome poverty.
113.
I would like to
emphasize that, the Government will continue with the mandate of supporting the
efforts of the people through directing resources, and formulation of policies,
strategies and guidelines. The community in participatory manner will implement
the development plans and initiatives. Moreover, supervision as well as
monitoring and evaluation of implementation will be enhanced. Each of us has to
play his part so that we can attain the national objectives as outlined in
MKUKUTA, National Development Vision 2025 and MDGs.
114.
Mr. Speaker, Lastly I would like to take cognisance of the efforts by different
development partners for their assistance, which has been catalyst for our
development. It will be lack of appreciation to overlook them as they have been
working hand in hand with us in the efforts to fight against poverty and
improve our economy. Allow me now to take this opportunity to mention by name
and thank all those who assisted us, as follows: Governments of Switzerland,
Netherlands, Germany, Denmark, France, United Kingdoms, Spain, Belgium, Canada,
Peoples Republic of China, South Africa, Japan, Kuwait, Italy, Ireland and all
other friendly countries: The World Bank, IMF, United Nations Organizations such
as UNDP, UNESCO, UNFPA, UNHCR, UNICEF, UNIFEM, FAO, IFAD, WFP, and WHO: The
European Union, OPEC Fund, DFID, NORAD, USAID, SIDA, FINNIDA, DANIDA, JICA,
Swiss Development Corporation, ADB and different international Non Governmental
Organizations (NGOs).
Mr. Speaker, I beg to move.
[1] Statistics on GDP growth were reviewed based on statistics collected by the |national Bureau of Statistics (NBS)
[2] M0 include money in circulation outside banking systems; M1=M0+deposits; M2= M1+time deposits M3= M2+ foreign reserves
[3] This amount is higher than those in BoT
publications since BoT numbers do not include some of government debts
including those of privatized or liquidated companies.