National Bureau of Statistics

SEPTEMBER 2002 INFLATION RATE STAGNATES

Inflation rate for September 2002 has remained the same as was for August 2002. According to the National Consumer Price Index  (NCPI), Inflation rate for September 2002, is 4.4 percent in relation to the figures for September the previous year. The September inflation rate has remained stagnant when compared with August 2002 inflation figure, which was 4.4 percent, as measured on a year-to-year basis. However, as measured on a month-to-month basis, that is between August 2002 and September 2002 inflation went down by 0.6 percent.

The overall Index decreased from 224.4 in August 2002 to 223.1 in September 2002. Prices for both food items and non-food items had gone down. Food items that had decreased prices were maize flour, fish, beans, vegetables and potatoes. Non-food consumer item, which had decreased price, was charcoal. However, prices of clothing, footwear, tables, mattresses, utensils, dry cleaning, toilet soap, toothpaste, radios, car spare parts, school uniforms, hand bags and wrist watches increased. Details of the National Consumer Price Index for the month of September 2002 by consumption groups are tabulated below: 

NATIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (ALL-URBAN)

SEPTEMBER, 2002 (Base: December 1994 = 100)

                                                                                                                               

   

MAIN GROUP

 

Weight

 

Sept.

2002

 

August 2002

%

Change

Aug. 2002

to

Sept. 2002

 

Sept.

2001

       %

  Change

Sept. 2001

to

Sept. 2002

1. Food

71.2

228.3 230.4 -  0.9 220.7 +  3.4
2. Drinks and Tobacco

4.4

179.7 179.6     0.0 175.5 +  2.4
3. Rents

3.9

201.8 201.7     0.0 198.3 +  1.8
4. Fuel, Power and Water

4.7

322.7 323.8 -  0.3 270.4 +19.3
5. Clothing and Footwear

3.7

202.8 201.0 +  0.9 189.0 +  7.3
6. Furniture & Household Equipment

2.5

199.1 197.1 +  1.0 190.1 +  4.7
7.

Household Operations

& Maintenance

 

1.5

 

161.3

 

160.4

 

+  0.6

 

158.9

 

+ 1.5

8. Personal Care & Health

2.2

150.9 150.5 +  0.3 145.0 + 4.1
9. Recreation & Entertainment

1.2

174.7 174.0 +  0.4 170.1 + 2.7
10. Transportation

1.2

246.9 246.5 +  0.2 240.3 + 2.7
11. Education

1.5

202.8 202.4 +  0.2 196.6 + 3.2
12. Miscellaneous Goods and Services

2.0

158.4 157.2 +  0.8 150.6 + 5.2
TOTAL - ALL  ITEMS  INDEX

100.0

223.1 224.4 -  0.6 213.6 + 4.4

                                                                                                                                                                           The yearly price increases i.e. annual rate of inflation (September to September 1996  - 2002) for the last six years as well as movement in group indices from September 1999 to September 2002 are shown in the diagrams below:

 

The diagram below depicts the purchasing power of the shilling in terms of consumption at different times. From September 1996, the value of 100 shillings (and thus the purchasing power) has been decreasing steadily, declining to 61 shillings and 69 cents in September 2002.

The National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) covers prices collected in 20 urban towns (Regional Towns) in Mainland Tanzania. Prices are gathered for 212 items. All prices collected are the prevailing market prices. 

The NCPI is a statistical measure of goods and services bought by persons in urban areas, including all expenditure groups and both families and single persons. It measures changes in price - not - expenditure - which are the most important cause of changes in the cost of living.