JANUARY 2003 INFLATION RATE STAGNATES

 

Inflation rate for January 2003 has remained the same as was for December 2002. According to the National Consumer Price Index  (NCPI), Inflation rate for January 2003 is 4.4 percent in relation to the figures for January the previous year. The January 2003 inflation rate has remained stagnant when compared with December 2002 inflation figure, which was 4.4 percent as measured on a year - to - year basis. However, as measured on a month-to-month basis, that is between December 2002 and January 2003, inflation went up by 3.0 percent.

 

The overall Index increased from 232.3 in December 2002 to 239.3 in January 2003. Prices for both food items and non-food items had gone up. Food items that had increased prices were rice, maize grain, maize flour, beef, chicken, goat meat, liver, sausages, fish, cooking bananas, beans, cowpeas, cassava and potatoes. Non-food consumer items, which had increased prices were average rent, clothing and footwear, furniture, household equipments, laundry soap, insecticides, dry cleaning, panadol, aspro, cough syrup, doctors fee, TV sets, bicycles, car service, notebooks, wrist watches, hand bags and umbrellas. Details of the National Consumer Price Index for the month of January 2003 by consumption groups is tabulated below: -

 

NATIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (ALL-URBAN)

JANUARY, 2003 (Base: December 1994 = 100)

                                                                                                                               

 

MAIN GROUP

 

Weight

 

Jan.

2003

 

Dec.

2002

%

Change

Dec. 2002

to

Jan. 2003

 

Jan.

2002

%

Change

Jan. 2002

to

Jan. 2003

1.

Food

71.2

248.2

239.1

+  3.8

241.7

+ 2.7

2.

Drinks and Tobacco

4.4

183.8

183.7

+  0.1

176.4

+ 4.0

3.

Rents

3.9

207.7

202.3

+  2.7

199.4

+ 4.2

4.

Fuel, Power and Water

4.7

338.3

338.2

    0.0

273.0

+ 23.9

5.

Clothing and Footwear

3.7

210.3

208.4

+  0.9

194.6

+ 8.1

6.

Furniture & Household Equipment

2.5

204.6

202.0

+  1.3

192.2

      + 6.5

7.

Household Operations

& Maintenance

 

1.5

 

166.8

 

164.3

 

+  1.5

 

157.4

 

+ 6.0

8.

Personal Care & Health

2.2

160.2

156.5

+  2.4

146.4

+ 9.4

9.

Recreation & Entertainment

1.2

175.0

174.4

+  0.3

171.7

+ 1.9

10.

Transportation

1.2

248.6

247.9

+  0.3

239.9

+ 3.6

11.

Education

1.5

210.5

208.2

+  1.1

198.3

+ 6.2

12.

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

2.0

160.5

160.3

+  0.1

156.1

+ 2.8

TOTAL - ALL ITEMS INDEX

100.0

239.3

232.3

+ 3.0

229.2

+ 4.4

                                                                                                                                                                            

The yearly price increases i.e. annual rate of inflation (January to January 1997  - 2003) for the last six years as well as movement in group indices from January 2000 to January 2003 are shown in the diagrams below:                 

 

                

The diagram below depicts the purchasing power of the shilling in terms of consumption at different times. From January 1997, the value of 100 shillings (and thus the purchasing power), has been decreasing steadily, declining to 64 shillings and 81 cents in January 2003.

 

 

 

The National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) covers prices collected in 20 urban towns (Regional Towns) in Mainland Tanzania. Prices are gathered for 212 items. All prices collected are the prevailing market prices. 

The NCPI is a statistical measure of goods and services bought by persons in urban areas, including all expenditure groups and both families and single persons. It measures changes in price - not - expenditure - which are the most important cause of changes in the cost of living.