GENERAL
ECONOMIC REVIEW | PRIVATE
SECTOR DEVELOPMENT AND CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES| |
|||||||||
GENERAL
ECONOMIC REVIEW |
|||||||||
The
Domestic Economy |
|||||||||
|
Money Supply and Domestic Credit
93.
During
2001/02 broad money supply (M2) increased by shs. 234.5 billion,
equivalent to an increase of 21.3 percent, from shs. 1,099 billion in
June 2001 to shs. 1,333.5 billion by June 2002. The increase
in money supply during 2001/02 exceeded the planned target, of within
a band of 10 to 12 percent per annum.
The increase in money supply in 2001/02 was largely attributed
to increases in time deposits, savings deposits and demand deposits.
The increase of time deposits was lower compared
to the increase of other types of deposits. Also the growth of currency in circulation outside
the banking system, demand deposits, savings deposits and time deposits
increased in 2001/02 compared to 2000/01.
During July – December 2002, broad money supply (M2)
increased further to shs. 1,507.3 billion, from shs. 1,333.5 billion
by June 2002, equivalent to an increase of 13 percent. The contribution of time deposits was smaller
compared to the contribution of currency in circulation outside banking
system, demand deposits and savings deposits.
94.
During
2001/02, domestic credit increased by shs. 37.5 billion, equivalent
to an increase of 5.8 percent, from shs. 647.3 billion in
June 2001 to shs. 684.9 billion in June 2002. That increase
was attributed to an increase in lending to the non-government sector
following a decrease in net claims on government in that period. Credit to the non-government sector increased
from 20.7 percent in 2000/01 to 27.4 percent in 2001/02. Table No.27 shows a summary of monetary survey,
with the respective changes shown in Table No.28.
Commercial Banks’
Credit to Various Sectors
95.
During
2001/02 commercial banks’ credit to various sectors amounted to shs.
482 billion having increased by shs. 103.6 billion or
27.4 percent from shs. 378.4 billion in 2000/01. The sectors
of mining, manufacturing and trade and others continued to receive higher
proportions of credit followed by agricultural production, buildings
and construction. The increase
in the amount of credit to agricultural production was accompanied by
an increase in the amount of credit extended for procurement of agricultural
crops, following the establishment of an Export Credit Guarantee Scheme
(ECGS). However, the amount of credit extended for procurement
of agricultural crops is still low.
96.
Commercial
banks that have started to offer micro-finance credit include CRDB Bank
Ltd., Tanzania Postal Bank (TPB), National Micro-finance Bank (NMB),
Akiba Commercial Bank (ACB), CF Union Bank, and Azania Bancorp.
97.
During
2001/02, commercial banks’ credit to government through the purchase
of government securities amounted to shs. 267,025.3 million, comprising
of Treasury Bills valued at shs. 95,665.6 million, and other securities amounting to shs. 171,359.7 million.
During 2000/01, such credit to government amounted to shs. 300,498.5
million. Thus, commercial banks’
credit to the government during 2001/02 decreased by shs. 33,473.2 million,
equivalent to a decline of 11.1 percent, compared to 2000/01.
The decrease in commercial banks’ credit to government during
2001/02 was attributed to a decline in the amount of government securities
sold. During 2001/02, commercial bank’s credit to
private sector increased, while credit to the government declined. The increase in credit to the private sector
indicates a sustained recovery in the private sector due to an increase
in money demand for improving land, manufacturing, transport and communication,
business services, and wholesale and retail trade, including tourism. Table No.30 shows commercial banks lending by
sectors. Deposits in Commercial Banks
98.
During
2001/02 total deposits in commercial banks increased from shs. 1,097,859.9
million in 2000/01 to shs. 1,368,506 million,
equivalent to an increase of 19.8 percent.
The contribution of foreign currency deposits to total deposits
was 33 percent, time deposits contributed 17.4 percent, while demand
deposits contributed 25.9 percent, and savings deposits contributed
23.3 percent. Low deposit interest
rates, especially for time and savings deposits, coupled with the imposition
of bank charges on customer savings deposits, have created disincentives
to potential depositors. Table
No.31 shows the trend of deposits in commercial banks.
99.
During
2001/02, commercial banks continued to compete in providing various
types of bank services. Securing of funds through a special type of
account which enable parents to save money for payment of school fees
for their children and Automatic Teller Machine (ATM) service are among
the newly introduced services in the industry. Trends in Interest Rates
100.
The
discount rate which is interest rate charged to commercial banks and
government when they borrow from the Bank of Tanzania continued to decline,
as has been the case over to the past five years.
The discount rate declined from 9.8 percent in June 2001 to 9.4
percent in June 2002. It declined further to 9.2 percent by December
2002. The weighted average savings
deposit interest rate offered by commercial banks declined from 4.2
percent in June 2001 to 3.5 percent by June 2002.
It declined further to an average of 3.1 percent by December
2002. The average fixed deposits interest rates for
3 to 6 months declined from 5.2 percent in June, 2001 to 4.1 percent
in June 2002. By December, 2002,
the rate had fallen further to 3.5 percent.
101.
The
weighted average interest rate on short-term lending by commercial banks
declined from an average of 20.9 percent in June 2001 to 14.8 percent
in June 2002 and thereafter started to rise, reaching on average of
15.9 percent in December 2002. Interest rate on medium and long term loans
declined from average of 19.2 percent in June, 2001 to 16.8 percent
in June, 2002. By December 2002,
the rate had declined further to 15.7 percent.
During 2001/02, commercial banks continued to charge different
lending rates to different borrowers for the same types of loans. Trends in interest rates of
commercial banks shows that the spread between lending and deposit
rates continues to be wide. Table
No.32 shows trends in interest rates.
Bank of
|
|||||||||